TSLA Factor Leaderboard

Updated for month 2026-06.

1. FSD Geographic Expansion — confidence 0.72 — Product-Tech — last seen 2026-06-01 — Four EU approvals in five days; subscription-only model live in Europe/UK; FSD Supervised confirmed in China; stock outperformance observed on confirmation days.
2. Robotaxi Execution Gap / Competitive Displacement — confidence 0.68 — Product-Tech — last seen 2026-06-01 — 100 deployed units vs. Waymo 1,000+; directly linked to stock underperformance; Dallas commercial launch partial offset; dedicated vehicle confirmed.
3. FSD Safety / Data Quality Skepticism — confidence 0.65 — Regulatory-Legal — last seen 2026-06-01 — Reuters internal trainer skepticism; China and South Korea class-actions; NHTSA visibility probe; 50% FSD price hike adds demand elasticity risk; Germany win is partial offset.
4. FSD Monetization Model Shift — confidence 0.61 — Product-Tech — last seen 2026-06-01 — Subscription-only migration Europe confirmed; 50% price hike live; Q2 ARPU and attach rate are first confirmation data points; demand elasticity risk unresolved.
5. Executive / Musk Distraction + Merger Financial Risk — confidence 0.57 — Executive-Elon — last seen 2026-06-01 — SpaceX merger modeled as immediately loss-making; $4B share sale complete; 2018 pay package share registration adds dilution perception; AI talent departing.
6. Multi-Continent FSD Litigation Cluster — confidence 0.55 — Regulatory-Legal — last seen 2026-06-01 — China, South Korea, US class-action risk; FSD rename before litigation; Reuters internal source corroboration; three-jurisdiction coordination pattern emerging.
7. Macro EV Competitive Pressure — confidence 0.55 — Macro-EV-Market — last seen 2026-06-01 — Waymo 10x deployment lead; XPeng robotaxi mass production; BYD crash liability guarantee; BYD/CATL battery cost pressure.
8. Robotaxi Safety / Regulatory Scrutiny — confidence 0.55 — Regulatory-Legal — last seen 2026-06-01 — Texas robotaxi crashes; NHTSA FSD visibility probe; fatal Autopilot crash; Austin robotaxi snag; recurring negative stock reaction pattern.
9. Institutional Positioning Flows — confidence 0.48 — Analyst-Ratings — last seen 2026-06-01 — Net institutional accumulation positive (H&H +3.4M, Bleakley, Knights of Columbus, Jefferies); offset by analyst consensus "Hold" and $220–$428 PT range fracture.
10. Tesla Energy / New Business Lines — confidence 0.47 — Product-Tech — last seen 2026-06-01 — Meta clean energy deal and Houston solar factory unconfirmed at IR level after three weeks; narrative persistent; confidence unchanged pending primary source confirmation.