Macro Context Dashboard

Key macro indicators with 30-day TSLA return correlation. Arrows show daily direction, sparklines show 60-day trend.

Currency & Dollar

INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
$
DXY
Dollar Index (UUP)
--
--
--
--
Rising = tighter conditions, TSLA headwind
€
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
--
--
--
--
Falling = USD strength
Fr
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
--
--
--
--
Dropping = risk-off, CHF safe haven bid

Volatility & Risk

INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
⚑
VIX
VIX
--
--
--
--
Spikes = higher TSLA IV and premium
⭐
GLD
Gold (GLD)
--
--
--
--
Rising = risk-off, fear trade
β‚Ώ
BTC
Bitcoin
64302.01
+0.41%
β–²
--
Correlated risk-on asset, leads TSLA sentiment

Energy

INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
β›½
USO
Oil (USO)
140.86
+2.62%
β–²
--
Spikes boost EV narrative for TSLA

Rates & Bonds

INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
🏦
TLT
US 20Y Bond (TLT)
85.31
-0.40%
β–Ό
--
Falling = rising yields, tighter conditions
πŸ’΅
SHY
US 1-3Y Bond (SHY)
81.97
-0.05%
β–Ό
--
Yield curve proxy β€” compare with TLT
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
IEF
US 7-10Y Bond (IEF)
94.00
-0.25%
β–Ό
--
Mid-duration US Treasury β€” pairs with TLT for curve shape

Rate Spreads & Signals

Yield Curve Proxy (TLT / SHY)
+4.1%
β–Ό
TLT/SHY price ratio β€” falling suggests curve flattening/inversion
CURVE FLATTENING β€” recession risk elevated
Long vs Mid-Duration UST (TLT vs IEF)
-0.8%
β–Ό
Relative bond performance β€” divergence signals rate differential shift

TSLA Correlation Summary

30-day rolling Pearson correlation of daily returns with TSLA. Anomalous divergences can signal regime stress.
DXY
--
--
EUR/USD
--
--
USD/CHF
--
--
VIX
--
--
GLD
--
--
BTC
--
--
USO
--
--
TLT
--
--
SHY
--
--
IEF
--
--

How to Read This Dashboard

Correlation

+0.6 to +1.0 = moves with TSLA (risk-on assets like BTC).
βˆ’0.6 to βˆ’1.0 = inverse to TSLA (safe havens like gold).
Β±0.3 to Β±0.6 = moderate link.
When a normally correlated asset suddenly diverges, it may signal a regime shift.

Key Signals for CC Selling

DXY rising + VIX rising = tightening, use conservative CC params.
VIX falling + BTC rising = risk-on, wider OTM strikes OK.
TLT falling sharply = yields spiking, watch for equity selloff.

Rate Spreads

TLT-SHY spread = proxy for yield curve slope. Negative = inverted curve (recession signal).
Widening UST-Gilt spread = capital flowing to USD, tighter global conditions.