Macro Context Dashboard
Key macro indicators with 30-day TSLA return correlation. Arrows show daily direction, sparklines show 60-day trend.
Currency & Dollar
INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
DXY
Dollar Index (UUP)
28.20
+0.21%
β²
-0.20
Rising = tighter conditions, TSLA headwind
EUR/USD
EUR/USD
1.1526
-0.15%
βΌ
+0.12
Falling = USD strength
USD/CHF
USD/CHF
0.8136
+0.33%
β²
-0.08
Dropping = risk-off, CHF safe haven bid
Volatility & Risk
INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
VIX
VIX
18.75
-2.85%
βΌ
-0.53
Spikes = higher TSLA IV and premium
GLD
Gold (GLD)
404.91
+0.99%
β²
+0.33
Rising = risk-off, fear trade
BTC
Bitcoin
63536.85
-0.10%
βΌ
+0.26
Correlated risk-on asset, leads TSLA sentiment
Energy
INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
USO
Oil (USO)
127.30
-0.24%
βΌ
-0.42
Spikes boost EV narrative for TSLA
Rates & Bonds
INSTRUMENT
PRICE
DAY CHG
60D TREND
TSLA CORR
IMPACT
TLT
US 20Y Bond (TLT)
82.10
-0.11%
βΌ
+0.20
Falling = rising yields, tighter conditions
SHY
US 1-3Y Bond (SHY)
81.93
+0.07%
β²
+0.03
Yield curve proxy β compare with TLT
IEF
US 7-10Y Bond (IEF)
92.95
+0.08%
β²
+0.24
Mid-duration US Treasury β pairs with TLT for curve shape
Rate Spreads & Signals
Yield Curve Proxy (TLT / SHY)
+0.2%
βΌ
TLT/SHY price ratio β falling suggests curve flattening/inversion
CURVE FLATTENING β recession risk elevated
VIX Level
18.8
βΌ
Fear gauge β drives TSLA option premium directly
NORMAL β standard CC conditions
USD Trend (60D)
+1.8%
β²
Dollar strength over 60 trading days
Long vs Mid-Duration UST (TLT vs IEF)
-1.2%
βΌ
Relative bond performance β divergence signals rate differential shift
TSLA Correlation Summary
30-day rolling Pearson correlation of daily returns with TSLA. Anomalous divergences can signal regime stress.
VIX
-0.53
MODERATE
USO
-0.42
MODERATE
GLD
+0.33
MODERATE
BTC
+0.26
WEAK
IEF
+0.24
WEAK
DXY
-0.20
WEAK
TLT
+0.20
WEAK
EUR/USD
+0.12
WEAK
USD/CHF
-0.08
WEAK
SHY
+0.03
WEAK
How to Read This Dashboard
Correlation
+0.6 to +1.0 = moves with TSLA (risk-on assets like BTC).
β0.6 to β1.0 = inverse to TSLA (safe havens like gold).
Β±0.3 to Β±0.6 = moderate link.
When a normally correlated asset suddenly diverges, it may signal a regime shift.
Key Signals for CC Selling
DXY rising + VIX rising = tightening, use conservative CC params.
VIX falling + BTC rising = risk-on, wider OTM strikes OK.
TLT falling sharply = yields spiking, watch for equity selloff.
Rate Spreads
TLT-SHY spread = proxy for yield curve slope. Negative = inverted curve (recession signal).
Widening UST-Gilt spread = capital flowing to USD, tighter global conditions.